For most of his first season in Chicago, Caleb Williams was described with caution. Promising. Talented. Encouraging. Bears fans have learned to live in that vocabularyâhope without assumption, progress without certainty.
That language is starting to disappear.

Sports Illustratedâs early projection for the 2026 NFL Top 100 Players List placed Williams at No. 21 overall. For a Bears quarterback, that alone feels jarring. But the ranking isnât just about respectâitâs about expectation.
And expectation is new territory for Chicago.
SIâs projection wasnât framed as hype. In fact, it was initially viewed internally as aggressive. Gilberto Manzano admitted the jump was supposed to be one of the riskiest calls on the list. Then the postseason happened.
Williams didnât just performâhe announced himself.
In playoff wins against the Packers and Rams, Williams delivered the kind of performances that donât need narrative assistance. He was composed under pressure, creative without being reckless, and decisive when games demanded answers. Those werenât developmental snaps. They were defining ones.
Thatâs why the projection no longer feels bold.

Williamsâ second season already passed statistical milestones Chicago quarterbacks rarely approach. He completed 58.1% of his passes for a franchise-record 3,942 yards, threw 27 touchdowns against just seven interceptions, and repeatedly challenged defenses vertically. The numbers matterâbut they arenât the story.
The story is difficulty.
Williams didnât live on schemed throws. He lived on anticipation, movement, and improvisation. He made high-risk throws look routine and routine throws look intentional. He attacked windows that most quarterbacks avoidâand hit them.
Thatâs the part evaluators are reacting to.

Sports Illustrated emphasized that Williamsâ impact extended beyond box scores. His willingness to push the ball downfield, combined with his ability to escape pressure and reset, forced defenses to defend the entire field. That trait alone elevates an offense.
And itâs why league perception is shifting.
What once felt like optimism now feels like inevitability. Not superstardomâyetâbut trajectory. Williams isnât being projected as a future star because of draft status or flashes. Heâs being projected there because the league has seen what he looks like when the game speeds up.

And he didnât slow down.
Thereâs also context working in his favor. Williams achieved all of this in the first year of Ben Johnsonâs offense. New system. New terminology. New structure. The growth curve should still be steep.
Thatâs what makes the SI ranking uncomfortableâfor opposing defenses.

If Williams finished Year Two looking this settled, what does Year Three look like with continuity? With better protection? With expanded freedom?
Those questions are no longer theoretical. Theyâre being built into projections.
Chicago didnât just break a cycleâthey may have skipped a step. Instead of asking whether Williams can be good, the league is asking how high he can climb.
Sports Illustratedâs ranking isnât a crown. Itâs a warning. A signal that the Bearsâ quarterback conversation has moved from survival to ambition.

And if this projection proves accurate, the most shocking part wonât be how fast Caleb Williams rose.
Itâll be how quickly the NFL accepted that he belongs there.
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