The Las Vegas Raiders are closing in on two decisions that will define their future: naming their next head coach and selecting quarterback Fernando Mendoza with the No. 1 overall pick. One of those decisions is nearly finalized. The other feels inevitable.

And thatās exactly why the Raiders need to pause.
Before they turn in the card with Mendozaās name on it, there is one thing Las Vegas owes itself to doāmake the call. Take the offers. Listen. Even if the answer never changes.
NFL Networkās Daniel Jeremiah has already hinted at what league circles are quietly acknowledging: the Raidersā No. 1 pick will draw interest.
Serious interest. This is widely viewed as a one-quarterback draft, and Mendoza sits alone at the top. That kind of scarcity changes behavior.

The Raidersā need at quarterback is obvious. Theyāve cycled through instability for years, going 21ā47 since 2022. The position has sunk seasons before they ever had a chance to float. Drafting Mendoza feels like the cleanest solution.
But clean doesnāt always mean complete.
Las Vegas isnāt one player away. The roster has holes across the boardādepth, protection, consistency. Even the right quarterback wonāt fix everything overnight. That reality is what makes the No. 1 pick both powerful and dangerous.

Jeremiah believes teamsāmost notably the New York Jetsāwill explore every possible avenue to move up. The Jets sit at No. 2 and have accumulated enough draft capital to make the conversation uncomfortable. Not necessarily irresistibleābut uncomfortable.
āThe buzz down here,ā Jeremiah said, āis that there is no chance the Raiders would trade off of that pick.ā
That phrase keeps coming up. No chance. Pretty in love. Moot point.
Those arenāt denials. Theyāre tells.

Zack Rosenblatt of The Athletic echoed the same sentiment. He expects the Jets to make the call. He expects them to push. He just doesnāt expect the Raiders to budgeāunless something shocking happens.
That āunlessā matters.
History is filled with teams who convinced themselves the decision was settledāright up until the moment it wasnāt. When future first-round picks enter the discussion. When roster flexibility expands. When timelines shift.
The Raiders donāt need to trade the pick. In fact, all signs point to them keeping it. Mendoza fits the vision. The coaching hire aligns with his development. The organization appears unified.

But unity without curiosity can turn into rigidity.
Making the call doesnāt mean wavering. It means verifying. It means understanding the market. It means ensuring that when Mendoza is selected, the Raiders do so knowing exactly what they turned downāand why.
Because if Las Vegas is wrong, the cost wonāt show up immediately. It will surface years later, when depth issues linger, when protection fails, when a quarterback is asked to compensate for too much too soon.
Thatās the risk.
Drafting Mendoza is the most logical move. It may also be the correct one. But logic alone isnāt how front offices survive. They survive by pressure-testing assumptions before committing.
The Raiders are finally positioned to control the board. That leverage only exists if they use itāeven briefly.
So before the card is turned in, before the future is locked, thereās one call they must take. One moment to listen. One chance to be sure.

If they still choose Fernando Mendoza after that, the decision wonāt just feel inevitable.
It will feel earned.
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