The White Sox have no shortage of questions heading into 2026.

Colorado Rockies v. Chicago White Sox | Rob Leiter/GettyImages
Will Colson Montgomery and Kyle Teel build on the promise they showed in 2025?
Will Munetaka Murakamiâs power survive big-league pitching?
Will Anthony Kayâs overseas success translate back to Chicago?
Will any of the young arms who flashed last season actually take the leap?
All of those matter.
But none of them will define the season the way this one question will:
Can Hagen Smith and Noah Schultz rebound?
This isnât just another development storyline. Itâs the axis on which the entire rebuild quietly turns. The White Sox are finally beginning to feel stable on the position-player side. The lineup has shape. The core is forming. Thereâs momentum.
The pitching, however, still feels unresolved.

Chicago has intriguing arms throughout the system, but very few project as true frontline starters. Tanner McDougal. Christian Oppor.
Useful names. Interesting ceilings. But they donât carry the same weightâor expectationâas Smith and Schultz.
Those two were supposed to be different.
They were the blue-chip answers. The pitchers who would make everything else easier. The ones who would prevent Chicago from having to spend money it historically avoids spending, or trade prospects it canât afford to lose.
And then 2025 happened.

Neither Smith nor Schultz collapsed outright, but both fell short in ways that made people uncomfortable. Not alarmedâbut watchful.
Smithâs issues were largely mechanical. His stuff didnât disappear, but his command did. Walks piled up. Counts ran deep.
Efficiency vanished. The White Sox responded by working to simplify his delivery, stripping away excess movement in hopes of restoring rhythm and repeatability.
Schultzâs struggles were quieterâand possibly more concerning. A lingering knee injury sapped some of the sharpness from his arsenal and coincided with a rise in his walk rate.

For him, 2025 became less about performance and more about survival. The priority shifted from development to recovery.
Neither situation demands panic.
Both demand results.
The White Sox remain publicly confident in both pitchers. Internally, the belief is that Smithâs fixes are tangible and Schultzâs health will unlock what went missing. Each enters 2026 with a realistic path to the major leagues this season.
Thatâs the optimism.
The pressure comes from what happens if it doesnât materialize.
If Smith and Schultz stumble againâif the command doesnât return, if the stuff doesnât reboundâthe consequences stretch far beyond one season.
It would force the White Sox into decisions theyâve spent years trying to avoid.
This organization has never shown a willingness to spend heavily on starting pitching. Dallas Keuchelâs three-year, $55 million deal remains the largest contract theyâve ever given to a starter.
The idea of committing nine figures to a frontline armâpossibly while sacrificing draft compensationâruns counter to everything theyâve done historically.

The trade market isnât a clean solution either. Acquiring an ace costs premium prospects, and a rebuild built on internal development canât survive too many shortcuts.
Thatâs why Smith and Schultz matter so much.
They represent the simplest solutionâand the most fragile one.
If even one of them emerges as a legitimate top-of-the-rotation option, the rebuild accelerates. The roster balances. The pressure eases. If both do? The White Sox suddenly look ahead of schedule.
If neither does?
Then 2026 wonât feel like progress. It will feel like limbo.
With spring training less than two weeks away, the talking points are almost exhausted. Development plans have been drawn. Adjustments have been made. Rehab timelines have been respected.
Now comes the part no one can spin.
The pitches have to land.
The health has to hold.
The talent has to show up when it matters.
The White Sox donât need perfection from Hagen Smith and Noah Schultz.

They need proof.
Because when the season ends, the most important question wonât be how far the lineup cameâ
It will be whether the arms the rebuild was built around finally showed why everything else has been waiting on them.
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