For years, Manny Machado was the answer.
When San Diego needed credibility, he gave it to them. When the Padres needed belief, he stood in front of the franchise and said this place could matter. Home runs followed. All-Star appearances followed. Postseason runs followed. Eventually, history followed too ā Machado now sits atop nearly every offensive category the Padres care about.
But baseball doesnāt freeze legends in time.

And in 2027, Manny Machadoās legacy enters a far less romantic phase.
Quietly, without fanfare, his salary is about to jump from $25 million to nearly $40 million per year. No new press conference. No renegotiation drama. Just a number sliding upward on the balance sheet ā and with it, a shift in pressure that everyone feels but few are discussing openly.
Machado has earned his money. That part isnāt controversial.

Since 2023, heās delivered steady power, respectable run production, and lineup stability. The advanced metrics suggest his bat remains dangerous. Exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit percentage all indicate a player who hasnāt physically declined. Even the projections paint him as an All-Star-caliber contributor.
The discomfort comes from context, not performance.
The Padres are no longer operating with the financial flexibility that once allowed them to patch holes aggressively. Yu Darvishās contract still weighs on the books despite a lost season. Fernando Tatis Jr.ās extension is fully active. Nick Pivettaās salary has climbed. And this offseason, instead of bold moves, thereās been⦠restraint.

That silence matters.
Because when a roster gets more expensive without getting clearly better, accountability sharpens. And when one playerās salary balloons by $15 million overnight, the spotlight narrows.
Machado doesnāt need to be good in 2027.
He needs to be undeniable.

At nearly $40 million per year, the expectations shift from leadership to dominance, from production to margin of error. A 3-WAR season that once felt stabilizing now feels merely adequate. A defensive step back that could be tolerated before becomes a talking point. Slumps last longer in the public imagination.
This isnāt about blaming Machado. Itās about gravity.

Contracts like this donāt just pay players ā they shape organizations. They dictate what risks can be taken elsewhere. They decide which weaknesses remain unfixed. They turn stars into reference points for every roster decision that doesnāt get made.
For now, the Padres are surviving. But survival isnāt what this era was supposed to be about.
Machado was signed to change the trajectory of the franchise, not anchor it. And the cruel irony of baseball economics is that success is often punished by expectation rather than rewarded by patience.
If Machado continues producing, the contract will be defended as foresight.

If he doesnāt, even slightly, it wonāt matter how much heās already given the city.
The raise is coming either way.
And with it comes a quieter truth the Padres canāt avoid forever: when flexibility disappears, heroes stop being symbols and start being calculations.
The question isnāt whether Manny Machado can handle that pressure.
Itās whether the Padres can afford for him not to.
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